At MetLife Stadium on Sunday, September 24, the New England Patriots face the New York Jets, kicking off at 1:00 PM ET. The Jets should win, according to our computer model -- continue reading to find more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

The Patriots averaged 21.4 points per game on offense last season (17th in NFL), and they ranked 10th defensively with 20.4 points allowed per game. The Jets owned the 25th-ranked offense last year (318.2 yards per game), and they were even better on defense, ranking fourth-best with only 311.1 yards allowed per game.

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Patriots vs. Jets Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Jets (+2.5) Over (35) Jets 25, Patriots 16

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Patriots Betting Info

  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Patriots' implied win probability is 59.2%.
  • New England covered seven times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
  • The Patriots covered the spread five times last season (5-2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
  • A total of eight New England games last season hit the over.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 35 points, 7.5 fewer than the average total in last season's Patriots contests.

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Jets Betting Info

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Jets have a 45.5% chance to win.
  • New York compiled an 8-9-0 ATS record last season.
  • The Jets were an underdog by 2.5 points or more 12 times last year, and covered the spread in six of those matchups.
  • New York and its opponent combined to go over the point total five out of 17 times last season.
  • The average total points scored in Jets games last year (35) is 6.6 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Patriots vs. Jets 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
New England 21.4 20.4 19.5 17.9 23.1 22.7
New York 17.4 18.6 18.6 19.5 16.3 17.8

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