Early next week a monster storm will develop over the Midwest and veer closer to our region late Sunday and into early Monday. The big question with this storm, just like any storm is, where will the exact track be? Tracks are very important especially this time of the year because that will dictate whether we experience snow, ice or rain. Models have been all over the place for the past several days, but as we get closer to the event, a solution is beginning to mend together.

At the moment, the center of the storm should move to our west. (Remember, an area of low pressure has winds the flow counterclockwise around it.) This means that our wind direction will come from the south and south east. This will help push warmer air across all of New England. Therefore, the air will be well above freezing and a deluge of rain will be in the forecast.

One of the large driving forces for creating the path of this storm comes in the 500mb level (or 18,000ft above the ground). A large trough (dip) will amplify to our west. On the eastern side of this trough, the winds will draw from the south and south east aiding the movement of the storm to our west.

This storm is still several days out and we will have a better grasp on the details over the coming days. As we see it right now, expect a lot of rain Monday, with a minor coating of ice at the onset.

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